【主題】美國(guó)對(duì)中國(guó)創(chuàng)立亞投行的反應(yīng):來(lái)自世行貸款項(xiàng)目投票行為的證據(jù)
【時(shí)間】 2024年12月18日 星期三 10:00-12:00
【地點(diǎn)】公共管理學(xué)院620會(huì)議室
【語(yǔ)言】中文
【主辦】清華大學(xué)公共管理學(xué)院
【主持人】朱俊明 清華大學(xué)公共管理學(xué)院副院長(zhǎng)、副教授
【點(diǎn)評(píng)人】陳 沖 清華大學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)學(xué)院副教授
張鵬龍 清華大學(xué)公共管理學(xué)院副教授
【主講人】趙劍治 英國(guó)??巳卮髮W(xué)國(guó)際發(fā)展學(xué)教授
【會(huì)議簡(jiǎn)介】
We examine, in the context of international relations, the hypothesis from social psychology that punishment for defiance is more likely for in-group than out-group members. The United States publicly opposed the founding of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and pressured countries not to join the Chinese-led institution. Nevertheless, 57 countries became founding members of this new development bank, which is viewed as a potential competitor of the U.S.-led World Bank. To test whether the United States punished in-group rather than out-group countries for their defiance, we consider a unique dataset on the voting behavior of the World Bank’s U.S. executive director on new project proposals. We find that the United States is more likely to oppose or abstain from supporting new projects only for AIIB founding members that are closer to the United States, with no punishment for the more distant founders. Considering that almost all proposals are approved regardless of U.S. support, the punishment appears merely gestural, making it even more surprising that the United States imposes it so judiciously. We suspect the action serves as a signal of discontent specifically direct toward in-group countries.
【主講人簡(jiǎn)介】
趙劍治現(xiàn)任英國(guó)埃克塞特大學(xué)國(guó)際發(fā)展學(xué)教授(Reader)。研究興趣主要集中于全球發(fā)展、全球治理和全球公共政策。趙劍治還擁有廣泛的政策研究經(jīng)驗(yàn), 曾任職于世界銀行、亞洲開(kāi)發(fā)銀行、泛美開(kāi)發(fā)銀行等國(guó)際組織,曾擔(dān)任聯(lián)合國(guó)工業(yè)發(fā)展組織評(píng)估專家顧問(wèn)、芬蘭中央銀行客座研究員。研究論文被International Organization, Nonprofit and Voluntary Sector Quarterly, Review of International Political Economy, American Review of Public Administration, Public Administration, Nonprofit Management and Leadership等期刊發(fā)表,并著有《國(guó)際發(fā)展合作:理論、實(shí)踐和評(píng)估》(中國(guó)社會(huì)科學(xué)出版社,入選中國(guó)國(guó)務(wù)院“中國(guó)圖書(shū)對(duì)外推廣計(jì)劃”)。趙劍治獲得美國(guó)馬里蘭大學(xué)國(guó)際經(jīng)濟(jì)政策博士,并擔(dān)任斯坦福大學(xué)Shorenstein博士后。
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